Panda Express Delivers Today's Comfort Food

Andrew & Peggy Cherng, founders of Panda Express know their Original Orange Chicken is comfort food for so many families.

According to the USDA, Americans spend more than 50% of their food dollars away from home.  People buy less food to cook at home.  Panda Express’ Orange Chicken has become a comfort food for many families according to Panda’s founders. In response, Panda is staying open for take-out, and in many locations drive through and delivery.  An additional benefit is keeping their team members employed during this difficult time. 

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It’s Time for Comfort Food.

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Politicians Pay Up for Superbowl Ads

Superbowl viewership reached 98.2 million last year and should exceed 100 million this year.  Advertisers began leveraging the Superbowl with groundbreaking big-budget creative.  Apple’s 1984 ad sort of “kicked things off”.

This year politics will premiere.  Never before have politicians been able nor willing to shell out almost 6 million for a 30-second spot.  We can expect to see Bloomberg face-off with Trump – perhaps a more dangerous game than football.

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The new comfort foods of Silicon Valley: South Indian, Super Burritos and Bo Hue

Yelp is celebrating 15 years and has provided some enlightening “bites” of data. We found a word cloud for San Jose.  We discovered words that speak to hungry tech workers and their kin pining for their go-to comfort foods from their country of origin. Top of the list: South Indian, Super Burrito, Bo Hue, Tofu Soup, Clay Pot, Garlic Noodle, and Porridge.  Lucky for all of us, all this great food is available in the Bay Area thanks to the demand generated by this demographic transformation.

For the first time in Silicon Valley’s history, Asian residents represent the largest population share (34 percent) living in the region. “The share of foreign-born residents (particularly from India and China) has increased by nearly three percentage points since 2009, reaching 38 percent in 2017 (compared to 27 percent in California and 14 percent in the US),” says the report.

The influx of Asian immigrants continues to flow into lucrative jobs in Silicon Valley, pushing out former residents and former food tastes.  Silicon Valley’s food scene has transformed in response to its demographics. I’ll take a Banh Mi over a Subway sandwich any day.

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It's The Harvest Season At Google

Harvesting Kids’ Personal Info.

Video is obviously the way digital marketing is headed. See our post below.  We site data from ChiefMarketer.com. What also struck us as interesting was this data point: “74% of U.S. consumers 13 years and older watch streaming or online video* at least weekly and 41 percent watch daily.”

What are the 13-year-old kids “consuming” online?  Likely YouTube.

This from the NY Times,” Google agreed … to pay a record $170 million fine and make changes to protect children’s privacy on YouTube, as regulators said the video site had knowingly and illegally harvested personal information from children and used it to profit by targeting them with ads.”

photo by Christian Wiediger

photo by Christian Wiediger

And, “even as YouTube told some advertising firms that they did not have to comply with the children’s privacy law because YouTube did not have viewers under 13. YouTube then made millions of dollars by using the information harvested from children to target them with ads, regulators said.”

So yes, those videos seem to have turned those 13-year-old kids into consumers - consuming what they find on YouTube.  A 13-year-old is considered an adult for the purposes of targeted advertising, so that likely opens those kids up to a whole lot MORE targeting.

The church that marketers build:  The brand-church.

A 2015 Pew Research Study showed that Americans are becoming less religious.   According to the study the growing minority of Americans, particularly in the Millennial generation, who say they do not belong to any organized faith.  Some brands,  “…are employing quasi-religious tactics to inspire enthusiasm for their brands.”*

“People didn’t come to SoulCyle because they got fit.  Is was (for) the connection they got in the room”, says Julie Rice who helped found the company…”Instructors spoke of enlightenment and a higher purpose.”*

Let’s all say a big Aymen to those brands.

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Some brands, are employing quasi-religious tactics to inspire enthusiasm for their brands.

*Fast Company, November 2019

The Wall Street Journal: "Tech Giants Have Hijacked the Web. It’s Time for a Reboot."

Per Christian Fuchs, professor of media at the University of Westminster in London, in the WSJ article, “The internet is a corporate monopoly today and monopolies are always a danger to democracy.”

The legislation seems to move at a snail’s pace. News trickles in.  Congress is increasing pressure and governments all over the world are starting to fight back against the power of Facebook. The company is facing fines, regulation and even calls for it to be broken up. But regulators and politicians still face a significant challenge in reining in Facebook’s financial, political and social might.

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Reasons To Closely Manage Digital Marketing

Former Ad Man Bob Hoffman shared in his weekly rant:

“I have studied the economic costs of fraud in many sectors for decades, and I was left stunned by the scale of fraud in online advertising,” says Professor Roberto Cavazo of the University of Baltimore.

Professor Cavazo participated in a study conducted by cybersecurity firm Cheq called ‘The Economic Cost of Bad Actors on the Internet, Ad Fraud 2019” which was released last week. According to The Drum, the report states that the "Cost of Global Ad Fraud Could Top $30bn" this year.

This report repudiates the nonsense promulgated a few weeks ago by the clowns of the ANA (Association of National Advertisers) which claimed that the "War On Ad Fraud Is Succeeding" and fraud would fall to about $5 billion this year from $7.2 billion a few years ago.

According to The Drum, "...studies, which pin the cost of ad fraud at about $7.2bn per year, fail to capture the full extent of the damage...These studies often extrapolate from limited samples...Such studies also restrict the scope of their research to botnets, which are just one source of ad fraud..."

The feckless ANA continues to cover its ass and mislead its members, the industry and the public about the extent of criminal activity that is polluting online advertising and costing advertisers tens of billions.

The digital advertising director of the Financial Times, Anthony Hitchings, had this to say, “The scale of the fraud we found is jaw-dropping. The industry continues to waste marketing budgets on what is essentially organized crime."  - For Bob's website go here. For info on having Bob speak, go here.
For all previous newsletters go here. For Bob's blog go here

Thoughts on doing the right thing.

Named as one of the Top 25 Most Extraordinary Minds in Sales and Marketing by the Hospitality Sales & Marketing Association International, Andrew Freeman pegged this year as one with more heart than years prior. While Cruffins and Cronuts can draw traffic, can they sustain in this day and age?

The hospitality Industry, like many industries is beginning to address a number of global issues - ready or not. Brands are responding to state and local sustainability initiatives such as the straw ban.

Brands are responding to consumer nutrition and ingredient concerns: Menu calorie laws are now available at multi unit chains (by law).

Minimum wage in many SF Bay Area Counties are up (sometimes twice that of National minimum wage) to address cost of living concerns.

The purpose? As Andrew Freemen said, “We’re doing the right thing to make this world more livable.”

Get his full report:

https://www.afandco.com/whats-trending/trend-report/

The duopoly of Facebook and Google in the digital ad space

In the age of digital marketing, Ad agencies now need to work harder for slimmer commissions:   

1st: Digital advertising has been fragmented, however it’s now consolidated between Google and Facebook, giving ad buyer less clout. 

2nd: Clients (really big ones) can bring digital ad-buying in house.  Digital media vehicles offer data to the client – they got access to the same tools the agency has, unlike traditional media (TV, radio, print).

Agencies still offer neutral, independent advice.  They just have to work much hard to earn a buck.

That said, companies like Proctor & Gamble have held the Duopoly (Facebook and Google) accountable by cutting $200 million in advertising spending until they can demonstrate efficacy. 

Grim outlook for US chain restaurants

“Following a 2018 marked by torpid sales and sluggish customer traffic, U.S. chain restaurants will confront surging food and wage overheads in 2019, Bloomberg reports. Some of the biggest names stagnated in 2018 with Starbucks closing U.S. locations and McDonald's continuing to wrestle with its best menu options. Delivery was also a significant challenge in terms of logistics and profitability. With consumers now expecting delivery from fast food chains, many must make expensive investments in technology to make that possible.”

- LinkedIn’s F&B team.

Change is inevitable. Time to innovate. But can they do it in time?

McDonald’s Restaurant

McDonald’s Restaurant

Value’s not a new concept. 

As an Agency Account Manager, I had the opportunity to working closely with Adman, Madman, Mike Moser of Goldberg Moser O’Neill, and author of United We Brand, Harvard Business Press.  We worked together agency side and client side.  Together we wrote a brand trail map, a brand plan for Black Angus restaurants.  Mike talked about this importance of brands keeping promises, and of staying cognizant of the value equation.

Quality/price = value

These days, with flat restaurant counts, consumers more educated, demanding, time crunched, and trends changing quickly, we find American consumers willing to look well beyond a sit-down, full-service restaurant for dining value.   People find quality faster these days, and Zagat helped make that happen by democratizing restaurants food.  Following are excerpted parts about the value the value equation. 

Following Fast Company article is about the wonderful bootstrap history of the Zagat guide. Then the Google purchase, the termination of what we knew of Zagat, terminating the staff, ending the ending founder’s participation, last print guide in 2017, and the recent sale to a startup called The Infatuation. 

Fast Company

The Way We Eat Now, Zagat: A Survival Guide by Ben Paynter

By democratizing food, Zagat altered the culinary landscape forever. Here’s how it felt from the inside. 

Allan Ripp, former Zagat PR director:  At one point we compared foot traffic and foot ratings between some of the high-end and lower-end places.  The restaurant run by the [chef who inspired] the Seinfeld Soup Nazi, its food ratings were higher than Le Cirque…{Zagat wasn’t merely] riding the wave of culinary change in the country but helping to advance it.

Kevin Sutro CEO, Zachary’s Chicago Pizza:  In 2003 we were the top 10…in the Bay Area and that ruffled some feathers.

Danny Meyer, restaurateur; CEO, Union Square Hospitality Group:  I was a junkie with all the [Zagat] statistics.  I created what I call the value equation…for the top 50 restaurants-their food décor, service scores and dividing that by that number by the cost of buying a mean there: quality per dollar.  [The guide] was an annual report.  I started to pay bonuses based on those [analyzed] scores…I’ll never forget when Shake Shack made top 50.  Who would have ever though a burger place would do that?

illustration from Fast company Article - by Wren McDonald

illustration from Fast company Article - by Wren McDonald

Q1 same store sales numbers up for three casual dining brands

Outback Steakhouse notched a 4.3% pop in same-store sales for the first quarter, the upswing from a 2.2% traffic gain. BJ’s Restaurants posted a 4.2% increase in comps, as well as a rise in visits, and The Cheesecake Factory generated a 2.1% uptick for established stores. For a segment some dismiss as a graveyard, casual dining is looking remarkably robust as the first public players air their Q1 results.  Many are citing off-premise for the incremental sales.  Excerpt from Restaurant Business 5-2-18

Outback parent Bloomin’ Brands attributes drivers:  drivers as exterior updates and the relocation of some stores, along with the addition of delivery at more units and increased membership in Bloomin’s cross-brand loyalty program. It’s a matter of turning the momentum, she suggested, rather than some silver bullet. She noted that $40 million has been invested over an extended time frame in customer-facing initiatives.

Similar comments were heard during the conference calls between analysts and the leaderships of Cheesecake and BJ’s.  

The strategies now paying off were different from chain to chain. BJ’s, for instance, cited the impact of a new slow-roasted meats menu, a differentiator that required a yearlong program of retrofitting kitchens and retraining staff.

Bloomin’s Smith noted that Outback’s seafood sister, Bonefish Grill, posted essentially flat comps, a marked improvement for that brand, in part because of a return to allowing individual units to choose what fresh fish to offer as daily specials.

But all of the casual operators reporting this week noted the considerable sales lift they’re getting from off-premise consumption. Cheesecake CEO David Overton, who once commented that he couldn’t see his brand doing delivery, noted that 95% of the company’s restaurants now offer the service through third parties, and all feature online ordering. President David Gordon said that 60% to 70% of that business is incremental.

Bloomin’s Smith cited research that shows nearly a third of millennials have food delivered from a restaurant at least once a week, while half of baby boomers order it less than once a month. “The potential for off-premise and delivery provides a large and incremental tailwind for casual dining,” she said in the scripted portion of Bloomin’s conference call with analysts.

BJ’s off-premise business rose 30% year over year during Q1, and now accounts for 7.5% of sales overall, said CEO Greg Trojan.

BJ’s and Bloomin’ also cited the beneficial effects of their loyalty programs. Bloomin’ offers one program across all of its casual brands, and membership now tops 6 million, Smith said. “This program is performing well and driving strong engagement across the portfolio,” she said.

Trojan said that participation in his charge’s new loyalty program is growing at a rate in double digits. The program was introduced just a few weeks ago.

Two other sizable casual-dining operators, Chili’s parent Brinker International and Applebee’s brand owner Dine Brands, are scheduled to post their Q1 results next week.

Going Out for Lunch Is a Dying Tradition

“Restaurants suffer as people eat at their desks; no more three-martini sit-down meals” By Julie Jargon

The U.S. restaurant industry is in a funk.  Blame it on lunch.

Americans made 433 million fewer trips to restaurants at lunchtime last year, resulting in roughly $3.2 billion in lost business, according to market-research firm NPD Group Inc. It was the lowest level of lunch traffic in at least four decades.

While that loss in traffic is a 2% decline from 2015, it is a significant one-year drop for an industry that has traditionally relied on lunch and has had little or no growth for a decade.

“I put [restaurant] lunch right up there with fax machines and pay phones,” said Jim Parks, a 55-year-old sales director who used to dine out for lunch nearly every day but found in recent years that he no longer had room for it in his schedule.

Like Mr. Parks, many U.S. workers now see stealing away for an hour at the neighborhood diner in the middle of the day as a luxury. Even the classic “power lunch” is falling out of favor among power brokers.

When he isn’t on the road for a Detroit-based building products company, Mr. Parks works from his home in Carlisle, Ohio, and eats there. When he meets clients at their offices, they have food delivered and work during what they call a “lunch and learn.”

Even some restaurant-company executives don’t go out for lunch. Employees at Texas Roadhouse Inc.’s Louisville, Ky., headquarters order in so often that they know the delivery drivers by name. “A lot of our folks are trying to be more efficient,” company President Scott Colosi said.

Even fast-casual chains that cater more to harried customers with counter service instead of wait staff are experiencing slower growth. Lunchtime traffic at those restaurants—excluding Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., which has suffered steep declines in the wake of disease outbreaks—grew 2% last year after posting growth of 5% or higher in each of the prior four years.

The pain is spreading to suppliers. Meat giant Tyson Foods Inc. recently said a 29% drop in quarterly earnings was due partly to the decline in restaurant traffic.

“Consumers are buying fresh foods, from supermarkets, and eating them at home as a replacement for eating out,” Tyson Chief Executive Tom Hayes said.

The average price of a restaurant lunch has risen 19.5% to $7.59 since the recession, as rising labor costs pushed owners to raise menu prices—even as the cost of raw ingredients has fallen. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. last year posted the longest stretch of falling grocery prices in more than 50 years.

“We believe significant food deflation was the primary culprit behind last year’s weakness, favoring food at home pricing over food away from home pricing to a degree not seen outside of the global financial crisis,” Sanford Bernstein analyst Sara Senatore said in a recent report on the restaurant industry.